An edition of Nonrenewable resource prices (2005)

Nonrenewable resource prices

deterministic or stochastic trends?

Nonrenewable resource prices
Junsoo Lee, Junsoo Lee
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 13, 2020 | History
An edition of Nonrenewable resource prices (2005)

Nonrenewable resource prices

deterministic or stochastic trends?

"In this paper we examine temporal properties of eleven natural resource real price series from 1870-1990 by employing a Lagrangian Multiplier unit root test that allows for two endogenously determined structural breaks with and without a quadratic trend. Contrary to previous research, we find evidence against the unit root hypothesis for all price series. Our findings support characterizing natural resource prices as stationary around deterministic trends with structural breaks. This result is important in both a positive and normative sense. For example, without an appropriate understanding of the dynamics of a time series, empirical verification of theories, forecasting, and proper inference are potentially fruitless. More generally, we show that both pre-testing for unit roots with breaks and allowing for breaks in the forecast model can improve forecast accuracy"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Edition Availability
Cover of: Nonrenewable resource prices
Nonrenewable resource prices: deterministic or stochastic trends?
2005, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 7/22/2005.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series ;, working paper 11487, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) ;, working paper no. 11487.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL3478422M
LCCN
2005618447

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December 13, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
December 5, 2010 Edited by Open Library Bot Added subjects from MARC records.
December 10, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page